Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.046359 0.050417 0.054528 0.058999 0.063716 0.068539 0.073835
2025-01-26 0.039456 0.045356 0.051554 0.058524 0.066117 0.074115 0.083148
2025-02-02 0.034613 0.041852 0.049707 0.058803 0.068985 0.079975 0.092675
2025-02-09 0.031280 0.039597 0.048888 0.059924 0.072568 0.086496 0.102893
2025-02-16 0.029337 0.038670 0.049362 0.062343 0.077503 0.094486 0.114780
2025-02-23 0.025249 0.034851 0.046167 0.060238 0.077016 0.096147 0.119369
2025-03-02 0.022481 0.032378 0.044348 0.059551 0.078012 0.099385 0.125676
2025-03-09 0.020220 0.030341 0.042886 0.059139 0.079206 0.102761 0.132081
2025-03-16 0.019331 0.029978 0.043436 0.061142 0.083286 0.109552 0.142539
2025-03-23 0.018166 0.029150 0.043312 0.062240 0.086214 0.114946 0.151346
2025-03-30 0.017005 0.028231 0.042995 0.063028 0.088715 0.119803 0.159512
2025-04-06 0.015498 0.026719 0.041800 0.062603 0.089626 0.122672 0.165246
2025-04-13 0.014556 0.025978 0.041630 0.063537 0.092323 0.127843 0.173945
2025-04-20 0.013202 0.024538 0.040431 0.063048 0.093155 0.130681 0.179790
2025-04-27 0.012227 0.023590 0.039854 0.063348 0.094981 0.134758 0.187187
2025-05-04 0.011610 0.023143 0.039947 0.064532 0.097954 0.140290 0.196424
2025-05-11 0.011442 0.023385 0.041025 0.067078 0.102751 0.148185 0.208688
2025-05-18 0.009953 0.021392 0.038748 0.064865 0.101124 0.147789 0.210452
2025-05-25 0.008996 0.020192 0.037575 0.064143 0.101452 0.149880 0.215349
2025-06-01 0.008193 0.019187 0.036639 0.063710 0.102134 0.152408 0.220796
2025-06-08 0.008047 0.019323 0.037454 0.065818 0.106326 0.159563 0.232238
2025-06-15 0.007694 0.019058 0.037624 0.066973 0.109198 0.164994 0.241484
2025-06-22 0.007293 0.018674 0.037584 0.067802 0.111612 0.169826 0.249977